Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones

This market covers the ATP Challenger Brownsburg round-of-16 tennis match between Felix Gill and Jack Pinnington Jones, scheduled for August 13, 2026. On Polymarket, the market resolves to whichever player advances, with 50-50 resolutions specified for cancellations, ties, or walkovers. Kalshi frames its version around a ball being played in the match, while Azuro also lists the head-to-head alongside a broad set of game, set, and handicap side markets. Jack Pinnington Jones is the clear favourite to win the match. Across the main moneyline, Polymarket has him at 62.0%, Kalshi at 63.0%, and Azuro at 67.6%, for a consensus around 62.5%. Felix Gill sits near 37.5% consensus, with Polymarket and Kalshi both at 38.0% and Azuro at 39.7%. That gap of roughly 25 points signals a solid but not overwhelming edge for Pinnington Jones. The notable cross-platform spread is between Azuro and the two US-based venues: Azuro prices Pinnington Jones about 4–5 points higher than Polymarket and Kalshi on the match winner, and similar Azuro premiums appear on totals like Under 2.5 sets (66.2% vs Polymarket's 62.0%). The takeaway: all four venues agree on Pinnington Jones as favourite, but Azuro consistently prices him more aggressively than Polymarket or Kalshi.