Fita Boluda vs Pigato

This market covered the first-round meeting between Angela Fita Boluda and Lisa Pigato at the 2026 WTA 125K Contrexeville, originally scheduled for July 7. Each outcome resolves to whichever player advances, with tweaks across platforms for walkovers and cancellations: Kalshi resolves on a ball being played, while Polymarket sends walkovers to 50-50 and looks to the WTA Tour as its primary source. The event is now closed, with roughly $414k in aggregate volume, most of it on Kalshi. Pigato was the overwhelming favourite. Polymarket priced her at 99.9% and Kalshi at 99.0%, giving a consensus near 99.9% on the moneyline. Fita Boluda sat at just 0.1% on Polymarket and 1.0% on Kalshi — effectively priced as a near-certain loser. That level of one-sidedness is consistent with a result already being reflected in the odds by the snapshot time. The one clear outlier is Azuro, which had Pigato at 76.3% and Fita Boluda at 31.2% on the same moneyline, a spread of nearly 23 points versus Polymarket and Kalshi. Across platforms the takeaway is a near-unanimous Pigato verdict on the binary markets, with Azuro the sole venue offering materially different pricing.