FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory? — On Aug 18, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jared Moskowitz, ≥5% Winner | Won | $23.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥10% | Lost | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥15% | Lost | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥20% | Lost | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥25% | Lost | $29.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥30% | Lost | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥35% | Lost | $6.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥40% | Lost | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥45% | Lost | $16.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared Moskowitz, ≥50% | Lost | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jared Moskowitz minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jared Moskowitz if Jared Moskowitz wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jared Moskowitz loses. If Jared Moskowitz wins, the margin will be positive; if Jared Moskowitz loses, the margin will be negative; if Jared Moskowitz ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jared Moskowitz runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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