Live
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
Starts:Oct 6, 2026, 3:15 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 4:58 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$20.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 97.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 4.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
97.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
4.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If a Category 4 or higher hurricane makes landfall in Florida (excluding the Florida Keys) between October 6, 2026 at 11:15:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. The hurricane's center must cross the specified coastline at the qualifying intensity. NHC's initial operational landfall report governs, subject to the contract's material-error correction rules.
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