Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
December 31, 2027 Favorite | 68.0%Polymarket | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
June 30, 2027 | 26.0%Polymarket | $68 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
March 31, 2027 | 21.0%Polymarket | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
December 31, 2026 | 7.0%Polymarket | $2.3M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
November 30, 2026 | 6.0%Polymarket | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
October 31, 2026? | 1.6%Polymarket | $142.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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