GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers

The Green Bay Packers host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 4, 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC, and this market asks which team wins. On Kalshi and Polymarket, a tie resolves 50-50 between the two sides. Azuro also lists a separate Draw outcome, priced at 8.8%. Across all listings, the event has drawn about $7.9 million in total volume. Novig ($1.9 million) and Polymarket ($1.5 million) lead the listed venues, and Polymarket holds the deepest liquidity at roughly $6.1 million. The Packers are the consensus favourite at 59.6%, against 40.5% for the Buccaneers. That gap of roughly 19 points implies markets see Green Bay as a clear but not overwhelming favourite. Midpoints for Green Bay are tightly grouped on most platforms: Novig 59.7%, Polymarket US 59.6%, and Gemini, Polymarket and Kalshi each at 59.5%. Buccaneers pricing is similarly uniform, ranging from 40.3% on Novig to 40.5% on Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi. The only visible divergence comes from Azuro, which prices Green Bay at 61.4%. That figure drives the 1.85-point spread on the Packers outcome. Azuro's three-way structure and thin volume ($290) likely explain the difference, since its prices sum above 100%. Overall, the high-volume venues show near-identical pricing with Green Bay favoured at about 59.5%, and the only outlier is low-liquidity Azuro.