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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Starts:Dec 12, 2025, 9:47 PMEnds:Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
AbandonedNo venue reported a result for this event, so it was closed without one. Paper positions were refunded at cost.
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.4% (13,315)
Total volume
$1.3M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
10

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Category

Tech & Science

Tags

generalGeminiGemini 3TechAireleased