Germany vs Greece

Germany host Greece in a UEFA Nations League fixture originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, and the match is currently live across a wide set of prediction venues. Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US, Azuro and Novig list dozens of derivative markets on the game, ranging from the moneyline and draw to spread, total goals, halftime result, exact score, first team to score and corners. The core three-way question is who wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a separate "Tie" outcome resolving Yes on a draw. Germany is the clear favourite on the match winner at a 69.0% consensus, priced at 70.0% on Kalshi, 69.0% on both Azuro and Polymarket US, and 67.5% on Polymarket. Greece sits around 15.3% (Kalshi 12.0%, Polymarket US 13.0%, Polymarket 12.5%, Azuro 15.3%), while the draw is roughly 22.5% (Azuro 22.5%, Polymarket US 21.0%, Polymarket 19.5%, Kalshi 19.0%). That gap of more than 50 points signals a strong lean toward Germany rather than a coin-flip contest. The most notable cross-platform spread is on Greece, where Azuro's 15.3% sits about 2.8 points above Kalshi's 12.0%, with the draw showing a similar ~3-point range and Germany itself varying by about 2.5 points across books.