Germany vs Serbia

The Germany vs. Serbia UEFA Nations League fixture, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, is listed across seven venues: Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi, Novig, Azuro, Limitless and Gemini-adjacent aggregator Lumy are tagged, with the bulk of liquidity concentrated on Polymarket's main and Exact Score books (over $1.5m combined) and Kalshi's suite of sub-markets. Beyond the three-way match result, platforms offer total goals, correct score, spreads, halftime, corners, first team to score and team-total side markets. Germany is the clear favourite to win in regulation at a consensus 82.5%, with the full-time three-way line almost identical across books: Azuro 84.0%, Kalshi 83.0%, Novig and Limitless 82.5%, Polymarket 82.5% and Polymarket US 82.0% — a tight 2.5-point spread. The draw sits at 12.5% consensus (Azuro highest at 15.8%, Polymarket lowest at 12.5%, a 3.3-point gap), while Serbia trades around 5.5–7.0%. In the totals market, Over 2.5 goals is priced near 72%, Over 3.5 near 51.5% and Germany −1.5 on the spread near 62.5% across Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. Across venues the pricing is broadly aligned, with Azuro consistently a touch higher on both Germany and the draw than the US-dollar books.