Greece vs Netherlands

The Greece vs. Netherlands UEFA Nations League fixture, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026, has drawn more than $1.4 million in combined volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig, Limitless, Azuro and Polymarket US, with Polymarket and Kalshi anchoring the headline moneyline market and the rest offering a long tail of totals, spreads, correct-score and halftime side markets. In the three-way match result, Netherlands is the nominal favourite at a 46.0% consensus, priced between 45.5% on Polymarket and 47.5% on Novig, with Kalshi at 47.0%, Polymarket US at 46.0%, Azuro at 46.5% and Limitless cheapest at 45.8%. Greece sits at a 28.5% consensus (Polymarket 27.0%, Limitless 27.5%, Polymarket US/Novig/Kalshi 29.0%, Azuro 31.7%), while the Draw rounds out at 26.5%, ranging from 25.8% on Limitless to 28.0% on Novig. The favourite's edge is narrow — only about 17–18 points over Greece — suggesting the market sees a competitive match rather than a dominant Dutch showing. The widest cross-platform spreads sit on the underdog side: Greece's price varies by roughly 4.2 points between Limitless and Azuro, and Netherlands by about 1 point. Overall, pricing is tight on the favourite but noticeably looser on Greece and the Draw.