Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns

This is the GSL 2026 **Final** between Guyana Amazon Warriors and San Francisco Unicorns, scheduled for August 1 at Providence Stadium. The market on Kalshi — which dominates activity with nearly $3.97 million in volume — asks simply whether the Guyana Amazon Warriors win the match. Polymarket lists several prop variants (most sixes, top batter, toss-match double) alongside its own outright market, though all carry negligible volume and liquidity compared to Kalshi's $1.3 million in open liquidity. Guyana Amazon Warriors finished first on the league-stage points table, earning a direct path to the final, while San Francisco Unicorns booked their place with an emphatic eight-wicket victory over the Desert Vipers in the qualifier. The Warriors are the defending champions, having won the previous edition of the Global Super League. Those advantages — home ground, top-seed status, and title pedigree — are reflected in the markets, where Guyana Amazon Warriors sit as clear favourite at a consensus 57.0%, against 41.0% for the Unicorns, with the remaining probability covering no-result scenarios. Kalshi prices the Warriors at 57.0% and the Unicorns at 41.0%; Polymarket's outright market is slightly tighter at 55.0% vs. 45.8%, a modest 2.0–4.8 percentage point spread across platforms suggesting markets are broadly aligned but Polymarket sees the contest as marginally more competitive. The Unicorns' qualifier run-chase was completed with 23 balls to spare, brilliantly led by opener Tim Robinson's unbeaten 68 off 54 balls, underscoring why they are not being dismissed lightly. Both platforms agree on the Warriors as favourites, and the tight cross-platform spread signals strong consensus heading into the final.