Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 9.6 million Favorite | 76.0%Kalshi | $7.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 9.8 million | 16.0%Kalshi | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10.0 million | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10.2 million | 4.0%Kalshi | $7.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.