Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chunichi Dragons | 0.1%Polymarket | $567.4K | No liquidity57.8% | — | — | — | — | ||
Hiroshima Carp Winner | — | $761.9K | No liquidity41.3% | — | — | — | — | ||
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers the Nippon Professional Baseball regular-season game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Chunichi Dragons, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026. Kalshi lists it as a two-way market on whether Hiroshima wins, with tie games resolving 50/50 and postponements handled per platform rules. Azuro offers a three-way market that also prices in a draw outcome. Chunichi Dragons are the favourite at a consensus 57.0%, priced at 57.0% on Kalshi and 55.3% on Azuro. Hiroshima trails at 44.0% on Kalshi and 43.1% on Azuro, while Azuro additionally prices the draw at 15.1%. The roughly 13-point gap between the two teams on Kalshi points to a moderate but not overwhelming edge for the Dragons on the road. Cross-platform pricing is tightly aligned: the Dragons' implied probability differs by only 1.7 points between Azuro and Kalshi, and Hiroshima's by less than one point. Liquidity is concentrated on Kalshi, where volume sits near $471 against essentially no activity on Azuro. Overall, the two venues agree that Chunichi are modest favourites, with no meaningful arbitrage-style spread on either side.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.