Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — On Oct 8, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ewan Cameron | 99.6%Polymarket | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Conservative Party Winner | 98.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Reform UK | 2.0%Kalshi | $4.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Workers Party | 2.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Liberal Democrats | 2.0%Kalshi | $4.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Labour Party | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Green Party | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Official Monster Raving Loony Party | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tom Darwood | 0.1%Polymarket | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Climate Party | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rejoin EU | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
UK VOICE safer and stronger UK | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Communist League | 1.0%Kalshi | $16.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Christian Peoples Alliance | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
UKIP - NO to Illegal Immigration | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Restore Britain | 1.0%Kalshi | $506 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for third place, markets resolve to $1/(number of tied entities), rounded down. A write-in candidate achieving the specified rank resolves all named candidate or party markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" market exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution follows the London Borough of Camden's final certified result, not preliminary election-night results. If an unlisted party or unlisted independent candidate finishes third, every listed market resolves NO. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond Oct 8, 2026, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve NO.
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