How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.3% or above Winner | — | $562 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
5.31% or above Winner | — | $1.7K | — | — | No liquidity97.0% | — | — | — | — |
5.35% or above Favorite | 43.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.38% or above | 43.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
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