How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.75% or below | 48.0%Kalshi | $200 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.76% or below | 51.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.77% or below | 54.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.78% or below | 58.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.79% or below | 61.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.8% or below | 64.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.81% or below | 67.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.82% or below | 71.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.83% or below | 74.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.84% or below | 78.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.85% or below | 80.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.86% or below | 84.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.87% or below Favorite | 85.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.91% or below Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.92% or below Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.93% or below Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.94% or below Winner | — | $2 | — | — | No liquidity91.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.95% or below Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.96% or below Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
5.03% or below Winner | — | $119 | — | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.