How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.34% or below | 27.0%Kalshi | $878 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.37% or below | 31.0%Kalshi | $276 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.39% or below | 37.0%Kalshi | $248 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.4% or below | 39.0%Kalshi | $371 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.42% or below | 42.0%Kalshi | $256 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.44% or below | 47.0%Kalshi | $213 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.45% or below | 49.0%Kalshi | $558 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.46% or below | 49.0%Kalshi | $527 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.51% or below | 60.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.52% or below | 57.0%Kalshi | $626 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.54% or below | 72.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.55% or below | 80.0%Kalshi | $718 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.56% or below | 77.0%Kalshi | $346 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.57% or below | 81.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.58% or below | 83.0%Kalshi | $774 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.59% or below | 84.0%Kalshi | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
5.6% or below Favorite | 92.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
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