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How many Democrats won't back Jeffries on the first ballot? — Opening of the 120th Congress
Starts:Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AMEnds:Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
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Total volume
$314
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 20 | 93.0%Kalshi | $271 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 20
93.0%Best · Kalshi$271
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A Democrat counts if the Clerk records them on the first roll call for Speaker as voting for anyone other than Hakeem Jeffries, or as Present. Not Voting does NOT count. If no roll call for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027, the count is 0.
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