How many Florida mail votes will be cast? — As of Nov 4, 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 1.4 million Favorite | 97.0%Kalshi | $503 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 1.6 million | 97.0%Kalshi | $200 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 1.8 million | 87.0%Kalshi | $400 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.2 million | 27.0%Kalshi | $413 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.4 million | 18.0%Kalshi | $457 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2.6 million | 11.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The value is the headline "Mail ballots returned" figure at the top of the Florida page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. This is the tracker's figure at that time, not the final official count, and it may not include ballots received later on Election Day. If the page is unavailable at that time, the accept_all value for Florida in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
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