How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026? — November 3, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 1 No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 2 No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 3 | 98.0%Kalshi | $205 | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 4 No liquidity | — | $5 | — | No liquidity20.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 6 No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity24.0% | — | — | — | — |
At least 8 No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity32.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The qualifying districts are the 201 in which Harris received more votes than Trump in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Republican, including as preferring the Republican Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
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