How many MPs will vote for the no-confidence motion against Tusk in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 150 | 33.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The vote counted is the first Sejm vote held after Issuance on a motion for a constructive vote of no confidence in the Council of Ministers headed by Donald Tusk, whoever submits it and whoever it nominates as Prime Minister. Only deputies recorded as voting for (za) in the official Sejm voting record count. The following do NOT count: A vote of no confidence in an individual minister Procedural votes, such as on scheduling or debating the motion Abstentions, votes against and absences If no such vote is held before Jan 1, 2027, every market resolves to No.
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