How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — After Issuance, before Jan 3, 2027
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Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 10 Favorite | 95.0%Kalshi | $7.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 25 | 91.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 50 | 75.0%Kalshi | $7.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 75 | 67.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 100 | 62.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 125 | 59.0%Kalshi | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions
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