How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10)
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 1 Favorite | 99.0%Kalshi | $8.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 2 | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 3 | 99.0%Kalshi | $11.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 4 | 82.0%Kalshi | $14.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 5 | 39.0%Kalshi | $6.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 6 | 9.0%Kalshi | $14.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 7 | 9.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 9 | 2.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 10 | 2.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 15 | 2.0%Kalshi | $240 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 11, 2026. The week runs from Oct 4, 2026 through Oct 10, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No
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