How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — November 3, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 16 Favorite | 99.0%Kalshi | $400 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 19 | 99.0%Kalshi | $612 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 22 | 99.0%Kalshi | $602 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 25 | 99.0%Kalshi | $202 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 31 | 85.0%Kalshi | $241 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 40 | 50.0%Kalshi | $397 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 46 | 32.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts. A district counts only if the candidate elected there is the nominee of the Democratic Party. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. A candidate elected as an independent or without a party nomination does NOT count, whether or not they caucus with the Democrats.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.