How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 220 Winner | Won | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 230 Winner | Won | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 240 Winner | Won | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 250 Winner | Won | $5.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 275 | Lost | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 300 | Lost | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 325 | Lost | $11.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 350 | Lost | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 375 | Lost | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions. Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded. The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
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