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How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027? — from February 2026 to February 2027
Starts:Feb 28, 2027Ends:Jul 1, 2027, 1:59 PM
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Total volume
$1.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
6
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 10% Favorite | 85.0%Kalshi | $640 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 15% | 67.0%Kalshi | $279 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 20% | 37.0%Kalshi | $511 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10%Favorite
85.0%Best · Kalshi$640
Above 15%
67.0%Best · Kalshi$279
Above 20%
37.0%Best · Kalshi$511
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data. Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
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