How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — During Trump's term
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$0 / No Acquisition Favorite | 90.9%Kalshi | $870.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
$300 billion to $599 billion | 3.4%Kalshi | $117.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
$100 billion to $299 billion | 2.5%Kalshi | $114.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
$10 billion to $99 billion | 2.7%Kalshi | $127.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
$1 billion to $9 billion | 2.4%Kalshi | $103.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
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