Independ. Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $407.0K | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — | ||
Over 6.5 goals scored | 16.0%Kalshi | $944 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Independiente Santa Fe | 0.4%Polymarket | $435.4K | No liquidity4.6% | — | — | — | — | ||
Once Caldas | 1.0%Kalshi | $314.2K | No liquidity5.5% | — | — | — | — |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
The match appears to be live or very recently played, with a Claro Sports headline referencing Andrés Colorado equalising. Let me check for the final score.The match is clearly live, with Santa Fe leading 2-1 in the 63rd minute. This perfectly explains why the Draw outcome currently sits as the favourite — the markets are reflecting in-play dynamics with a scoreline that could still equalise. Let me now compose the description. This Colombia Primera A clash between Independiente Santa Fe and Once Caldas at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín in Bogotá is listed across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Azuro, with the match market drawing by far the most capital — the game was at 2-1 to Santa Fe at the 63rd minute when the snapshot was taken, leaving a draw very much in play and explaining why the market has settled there as favourite. On the full-time result, Draw leads at 87.0% consensus, priced at 87.0% on Kalshi and 88.0% on Polymarket — a tight 1.0-point spread. Independiente Santa Fe winning stands at just 6.0% (Kalshi 6.0%, Polymarket 5.0%), while Once Caldas are priced at 8.0% (Kalshi 8.0%, Polymarket 7.9%). Azuro is a notable outlier on the matchup, showing Santa Fe at 48.3% — far above Kalshi and Polymarket — though Azuro carries zero volume, so those prices appear stale and should be treated with caution. The draw's strong implied probability reflects the live state of the contest. Santa Fe had dropped points in matchday one, losing 2-1 to Águilas in Medellín, while Once Caldas arrived in Bogotá buoyed by a dominant start, having beaten Cúcuta 4-0 on opening day. With goals already flying in — a pattern consistent with both teams' recent form — the active markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are in close agreement, and the negligible cross-platform spread on the headline result signals that sharp liquidity is aligned on a 2-2 or equalised finish.
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