Indiana vs Phoenix

This is a WNBA matchup between the Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury on July 9, 2026. Records show Indiana at 11-8 and Phoenix at 8-13, which explains why Indiana is favored. Let me write the description. The Indiana Fever host — or visit — the Phoenix Mercury in a WNBA regular-season game tipping off July 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Both listings resolve on the final score including overtime; if the game is cancelled with no make-up, Polymarket resolves 50-50, while Kalshi frames the market as a Yes/No on a Phoenix win. Indiana enters as the clear favourite. Kalshi prices the Fever at 62.0%, while Polymarket's "Indiana Fever" line sits at 61.0% — a tight 1.0-point consensus gap between venues. On the other side, Phoenix trades at 49.0% on Kalshi versus 51.0% on Polymarket, a 2.0-point cross-platform spread that hints at slightly richer Mercury pricing on Polymarket. Volume is modest ($6,721 on Kalshi, $1,387 on Polymarket), so small tickets can move quotes. The form guide supports Indiana's edge: the Fever come in at 11-8 while Phoenix sits at 8-13. In their most recent meeting, Indiana snapped a two-game skid behind a Monique Billings double-double, while Kahleah Copper's 20 points and Alyssa Thomas's 19-point, nine-assist line weren't enough for Phoenix (then 5-12). Caitlin Clark's form has also been notable, with the most consecutive 20-point, five-assist games in WNBA history at six. Across venues, the markets broadly agree Indiana is a roughly 61–62% favourite, with only marginal disagreement on how steep the Mercury discount should be.