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Iran leadership change by...?

Starts:Mar 9, 2026, 2:58 AMEnds:Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$27.1M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
4

Markets

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Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Category

Politics
World

Tags

generalPoliticsIranIran RegimeGeopoliticsMojtabaayatollahKhameneiMojtaba KhameneiKhamenei outMojtaba outleadershipchange