ISM Manufacturing PMI in July — In Jul 2026
Markets
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| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
55.0–55.9 | Lost | $624 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 52 | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 53 | Lost | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 54 | Lost | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 55 | Lost | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 56 | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
54.0–54.9 | Lost | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 58 | Lost | $400 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
52.0–52.9 | Lost | $3.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
53.0–53.9 | Lost | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 51 Winner | Won | $715 | — | — | No liquidity84.0% | — | — | — | — |
57 or above | Lost | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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