JAC Jaguars vs CIN Bengals

This NFL matchup features the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Cincinnati Bengals, with kickoff scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The main markets resolve to whichever team wins. On Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless, a tie pays out 50-50. Azuro instead lists a three-way market that includes a separate Draw outcome. Total volume across listings stands at roughly $4.2 million, led by Novig ($1.45 million) and Kalshi ($727,704). Cincinnati is the favourite. On the two-way markets the Bengals sit at a 56.5% consensus, tightly clustered between 56.5% (Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket) and 56.7% (Novig). The Jaguars trade at a 43.4% consensus, ranging from 42.5% on Kalshi to 43.5% on Polymarket, Gemini and Limitless. That gap of about 13 points marks Cincinnati as a moderate rather than overwhelming favourite. Azuro's three-way pricing shows the Bengals at 58.8%, the Jaguars at 44.1% and a Draw at 7.8%. These figures sum to about 110.7%, which suggests a built-in margin, so they are not directly comparable to the two-way prices. The headline 58.8% figure for Cincinnati comes from Azuro alone. The widest spread on the two-way markets is 1.0 point, on the Jaguars, with Kalshi pricing Jacksonville slightly lower than its peers. The Bengals' spread is just 0.25 points. Overall, platforms are in close agreement that Cincinnati is favoured at roughly 56–57%, with only minor deviations at Kalshi and in Azuro's differently structured market.