Kansas City vs Baltimore
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles Winner | Won | $1.5M | No liquidity59.5% | — | — | — | — | ||
Lane Thomas: 2+ | Lost | $314 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Collins: 2+ | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Lane Thomas: 3+ | Lost | $280 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Lane Thomas: 1+ | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Collins: 1+ | Lost | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Samuel Basallo: 2+ | Lost | $473 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Blaze Alexander: 2+ | Lost | $823 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Samuel Basallo: 3+ | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras: 4+ | Lost | $215 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leody Taveras: 1+ | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Blaze Alexander: 1+ | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dylan Beavers: 1+ | Lost | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Samuel Basallo: 1+ | Lost | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Orioles wins by over 4.5 runs | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Orioles wins by over 5.5 runs | Lost | $21.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dylan Beavers: 2+ | Lost | $1.6K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone: 2+ | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | No liquidity37.0% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Massey: 2+ | Lost | $4.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jackson Holliday: 3+ | Lost | $134 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lane Thomas: 5+ | Lost | $235 | — | — | No liquidity94.0% | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen: 2+ | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Massey: 1+ | Lost | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Carter Jensen: 1+ | Lost | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Salvador Perez: 1+ | Lost | $8.6K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Colton Cowser: 1+ | Lost | $1.5K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Taylor Ward: 1+ | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals | Lost | $1.1M | No liquidity41.8% | — | — | — | — | ||
Salvador Perez: 2+ | Lost | $8.4K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone: 3+ | Lost | $2.0K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone: 1+ | Lost | $8.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leody Taveras: 2+ | Lost | $4.1K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday: 1+ | Lost | $8.2K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Rojas: 1+ | Lost | $6.3K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Orioles wins by over 6.5 runs | Lost | $18.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Orioles wins by over 7.5 runs | Lost | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
The market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. On Kalshi, the market resolves Yes if Kansas City wins, with provisions for postponement or cancellation. Azuro lists the same fixture as a three-way market that also allows for a draw, which is uncommon in baseball but reflects the platform's standard soccer-style outcome structure. Baltimore is the favourite across both venues. Kalshi implies a 56.0% probability for the Orioles, while Azuro prices Baltimore slightly higher at 58.8%. Kansas City sits at 46.0% on Kalshi and 42.7% on Azuro, with Azuro also assigning 11.9% to a draw. The Kalshi figures notably sum above 100%, indicating some vig or overround in the quoted prices. Volume is thin — roughly $764 on Kalshi and no recorded activity on Azuro — so pricing may not reflect deep conviction. Across platforms, Baltimore is favoured by a modest 12- to 16-point margin over Kansas City, and the two venues broadly agree on the Orioles as the edge team in this matchup.
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