Kansas City vs Cleveland

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026. The core market resolves to whichever team wins the game, and it is listed across Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro, Gemini and Polymarket US, with additional Kalshi and Gemini sub-markets covering the spread, total runs, first-5-innings score, and a wide range of player props for hits, home runs, RBIs and strikeouts. On the moneyline, Cleveland is a heavy favourite. Polymarket prices the Guardians at 99.9%, Polymarket US at 99.5%, Kalshi at 99.0% and Gemini at 98.0%, for a cross-platform consensus around 98.5%. The Royals sit near 0.5% on Polymarket and Polymarket US, 1.0% on Kalshi and 3.0% on Gemini. Because these prices are so lopsided, the game is effectively being treated as already decided or nearly so by the main venues. The clear outlier is Azuro, which shows Cleveland at just 62.5% and Kansas City at 37.9%, with a 13.0% draw line — a spread of roughly 36 points versus the other books. Across platforms, Cleveland is the near-unanimous favourite, with Azuro the only venue pricing the Royals as remotely competitive.