Kunitsyn vs Meng

This market covers the professional tennis match between Andrei Kunitsyn and Fanming Meng in the 2026 M15 Wuning Round of 32. A "Yes" on Kunitsyn resolves if he wins after a ball has been played; a match cancelled before a ball is struck resolves at $0.50, while a mid-match retirement resolves the withdrawing player to "No." Kalshi is the volume centre, having attracted roughly $418,000 in trading, with Azuro also listing the head-to-head plus an extensive book of handicap, totals, and odd/even side markets. On the moneyline, Fanming Meng is the overwhelming favourite. Kalshi prices him at 99.0%, leaving Kunitsyn at just 1.0%. Azuro's head-to-head is far less lopsided, showing Meng around 70.9% and Kunitsyn around 36.5%, with a second Azuro listing at 67.6%/40.5%. These Azuro books total well over 100%, reflecting untraded, wide two-way pricing rather than a genuine disagreement with Kalshi. Azuro's derivative markets lean in the same direction: Meng at a -1.5 game handicap sits near 50.5%, Meng -3.5 at 55.6%, and Kunitsyn +1.5 at 54.9%, all consistent with Meng as the clear favourite. Across platforms, the signal is unified — Meng is heavily favoured — with Kalshi expressing that conviction far more sharply than Azuro's thinly quoted lines.