LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks

This NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Seattle Seahawks is scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 4:25 PM ET. On most platforms the market resolves to whichever team wins. Kalshi pays $0.50 per side on a tie, and Polymarket and Limitless resolve 50-50 on a tie or a cancellation with no make-up game. Azuro is the exception: it lists a separate Draw outcome, priced at 7.0%. Seattle is the clear favourite at a 75.6% consensus. Pricing is tightly aligned, with Gemini, Kalshi and Polymarket at 75.5%, Limitless and Polymarket US at 75.6%, and Novig at 75.8%. The Chargers sit near 24.5% on Kalshi, Limitless, Gemini and Polymarket, 24.4% on Polymarket US and 24.3% on Novig, a spread of just 0.25 points. That roughly three-to-one margin signals strong market conviction in a Seahawks win. The notable outlier is Azuro, which prices Seattle at 78.1%, about 2.6 points above the pack, and the Chargers at 25.3%. Because Azuro's three outcomes, including the draw, sum to more than 100%, its figures are not directly comparable with the two-way markets elsewhere. Azuro's volume is also only $343, against more than $1.0 million on Novig and $531,113 on Kalshi. Across the deeper, two-way venues, the Seahawks' roughly 75.5% edge is priced almost identically, and Azuro's thin three-way market is the only meaningful source of divergence.