Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — On Nov 3, 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ashley Hinson Favorite | 98.0%Kalshi | $11.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Roger Marshall | 9.0%Kalshi | $9.4K | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes.
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