Laurent Lokoli vs Rodrigo Alujas

This market covers a first-round ITF Men Bastia-Lucciana tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Rodrigo Alujas, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026. On Polymarket, the market resolves to the player who advances; retirements or defaults count for the advancing player, while walkovers and cancellations resolve 50-50, with the ITF as the primary source. Azuro additionally lists a range of handicap, totals, and odd/even side markets around the same fixture. Pricing points overwhelmingly to Lokoli. On the moneyline, Polymarket has him at 100.0% versus 0.1% for Alujas, while Azuro shows Lokoli at 97.1% and Alujas at 9.2%. The small cross-platform gap — roughly 2.9 points on Lokoli and 9.1 points on Alujas — reflects Azuro's book not being fully normalised rather than genuine disagreement about the favourite. A separate Polymarket Yes/No pair sits at 99.5% / 0.5%. Azuro's derivative markets suggest a competitive game-count profile despite the lopsided winner odds: the -6.5 handicap on Lokoli trades at 52.4%, the total at 18 games is priced 51.6% over versus 53.8% under, and Odd/Even both show 54.6%. Across platforms, Lokoli is the clear favourite, with only Azuro's thinly priced Alujas quote standing out as a mild outlier.