Los Angeles D vs New York M

This MLB game at Citi Field on July 26 is the series finale between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket ask whether the Dodgers win outright, with Azuro also listing the matchup. The Dodgers are the clear favourite at 59.0% on Kalshi, 58.0% on Polymarket, and a softer 52.9% on Azuro — a modest 6.1-point cross-platform spread that represents the widest divergence in this event. The Mets sit at 42.0% on both Kalshi and Polymarket but 47.2% on Azuro, which consistently prices this game tighter than the other two venues. The Dodgers (67–38) come in as heavy road favourites against the Mets (43–62), with the run-scoring markets reinforcing that outlook: Kalshi prices the game going over 3.5 total runs at 93.0% and over 8.5 runs at 52.0%. Emmet Sheehan starts for Los Angeles looking to rebound after allowing six runs against the Phillies, while Mets righty Freddy Peralta is also coming off a rough outing in which he surrendered seven runs to Milwaukee. Among qualified starters, Sheehan ranks 103rd in ERA (5.13) and Peralta 99th (5.01), though both have meaningfully better expected ERA figures. Manager Dave Roberts acknowledged Sheehan's struggles but indicated he will remain in the rotation for lack of alternatives. For player props, Francisco Lindor recording a hit is priced at 62.0% on Kalshi, while Sheehan recording 3+ strikeouts sits at 92.0% — reflecting his swing-and-miss ability even in a rough stretch. Across platforms, Azuro is the consistent outlier, offering meaningfully tighter odds on the Dodgers than Kalshi or Polymarket.