Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — On Nov 3, 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nithya Raman, ≥2% Favorite | 65.0%Kalshi | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nithya Raman, ≥4% | 61.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nithya Raman, ≥6% | 50.0%Kalshi | $899 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nithya Raman, ≥8% | 40.0%Kalshi | $437 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nithya Raman, ≥10% | 36.0%Kalshi | $995 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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