Settled
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 — Dec 19, 2025 to Oct 1, 2026
Starts:Jul 25, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Oct 2, 2026, 3:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$18.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
9
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Below 3.6 million sq km | Lost | $295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 3.8 million sq km | Lost | $411 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.0 million sq km | Lost | $889 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.2 million sq km | Lost | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.3 million sq km | Lost | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.4 million sq km | Lost | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.5 million sq km | Lost | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.6 million sq km Winner | Won | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Below 4.8 million sq km Winner | Won | $904 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Below 3.6 million sq km
LostResult
Below 3.8 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.0 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.2 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.3 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.4 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.5 million sq km
LostResult
Below 4.6 million sq kmWinner
WonResult
Below 4.8 million sq kmWinner
WonResult
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying is the lowest individual daily Extent value reported in the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4 Northern Hemisphere daily CSV for a date within between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026, measured in millions of square kilometers.
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