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LSU vs Ole Miss

Starts:Sep 19, 2026, 11:30 PMEnds:Sep 21, 2026, 11:30 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Ole Miss RebelsSettled Sep 19, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate71.6% (194,533)
Total volume
$66.6M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
4
Markets
127

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Ole Miss RebelsWinner
WonResult
Polymarket USNo liquidity99.5%
LSU
LostResult
Polymarket USNo liquidity0.5%

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is a marquee SEC Week 3 matchup — the Magnolia Bowl — played at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, with No. 7 LSU visiting No. 8 Ole Miss. A win resolves to the game winner; overtime counts. The event has drawn over $36 million in combined volume across Kalshi and Polymarket, making it one of the most heavily traded college football markets of the season. Both teams entered 2-0, with LSU coming off dominant wins over Clemson (51-10) and Louisiana Tech (45-14), while Ole Miss knocked off Louisville and Charlotte. LSU is led by first-year head coach Lane Kiffin, whose return to face a Mississippi program carries significant narrative weight. Ole Miss has leaned on quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who threw for 561 yards and five touchdowns with just one interception through two games, with Kewan Lacy adding 148 rushing yards and three scores. On the moneyline, the consensus across platforms prices LSU at 62.7%. Kalshi's main market shows the Tigers as clear favourites, while Polymarket's standalone market sits at 95.5% for LSU. The spread markets on Kalshi price Ole Miss winning the first half at 74.0% — a notable divergence that suggests the Rebels may start fast even if LSU is expected to win overall. Traditional sportsbooks had LSU as 3-point favourites with a total of 58.5. The Kalshi total-points markets show a very high implied probability of surpassing 57.5 points, consistent with both offenses' early-season performances. Despite LSU's overall moneyline edge, the gap between platforms is meaningful — Polymarket's main market sits nearly 33 points higher than Kalshi's moneyline equivalent — suggesting liquidity and model differences across venues that attentive readers may want to monitor as the game approaches.

Updated Sep 20, 2026, 2:48 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsAmerican Football