BETCRYPTO
Settled

Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen

Starts:Jul 25, 2026, 9:00 AMEnds:Aug 1, 2026, 9:00 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Lucia Cortez LlorcaSettled Jul 25, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$1.3M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
3
Markets
7

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Lucia Cortez LlorcaWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$761.2K
AzuroNo liquidity38.6%
Johanne Christine Svendsen
1.0%Best · Kalshi$517.6K
AzuroNo liquidity67.6%

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is a semifinal match at the 2026 W35 Gentofte clay-court tournament between Spanish player Lucia Cortez Llorca (WTA No. 504) and Danish local hope Johanne Christine Svendsen. The W35 Gentofte tournament runs from July 20 to July 26, 2026. Cortez Llorca reached the semifinals having already beaten another Danish player, while Svendsen ground out a gruelling three-hour-and-33-minute quarterfinal win, dropping the second set 5-7 before breaking back to take the decider 7-5. That energy-sapping effort may weigh on the home favourite heading into this match. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket align strongly in favour of Cortez Llorca, with Kalshi pricing her at 89.0% and Polymarket at 85.5% — a modest 3.5-point spread between the two. Azuro is a notable outlier, showing only 38.6% for the Spaniard on its moneyline, though this appears to reflect a data anomaly rather than genuine disagreement. Cortez Llorca has a strong clay record at ITF level, which aligns with her heavy favouritism on a clay surface. Svendsen is priced at just 9.0%–12.0% to win outright on Polymarket and Kalshi, respectively. Kalshi carries the dominant volume at over $1.08 million versus Polymarket's modest $418, suggesting the Kalshi price of 89.0% is the more liquid and informative signal. The cross-platform consensus firmly points to Cortez Llorca as a strong favourite, with the only meaningful spread being Azuro's anomalous line and a slim 3.5-point gap between the two liquid platforms.

Updated Jul 25, 2026, 11:31 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsTennis