LYON vs Karmine Corp

LYON vs Karmine Corp is a League of Legends match in the Worlds 2026 Group Stage, which Polymarket lists as a best-of-one Round 2 fixture scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. There are two outcomes: "LYON" resolves if LYON wins the match, and "Karmine Corp" resolves if Karmine Corp wins. Polymarket and Limitless resolve to 50-50 if the match is cancelled or ends in a tie. Kalshi resolves to fair market price in comparable scenarios. The event is live, with about $4.95 million in total volume, most of it on Polymarket ($3.32 million) and Kalshi ($1.62 million). At the time of the snapshot, LYON is the clear favourite at a consensus 99.0%. The cheapest entry for LYON is 99.0% on Kalshi. Limitless shows a midpoint of 99.5% for LYON and 0.5% for Karmine Corp. Pricing this lopsided during a live match indicates that the market views the result as nearly settled in LYON's favour. A true cross-platform comparison is limited. Polymarket and Polymarket US quotes were flagged as stale, Kalshi's book was one-sided, and Azuro had no liquidity, so all four were left out of the consensus. Limitless, which has just $400 in volume, is the only venue contributing a midpoint, so no meaningful spread can be measured. Every usable quote points to LYON, but thin and stale books mean there is effectively no measurable cross-platform price comparison.