MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) — On Sep 1, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Richard Neal, ≥5% Winner | Won | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥10% | Lost | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥15% | Lost | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥20% | Lost | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥25% | Lost | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥30% | Lost | $537 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥35% | Lost | $864 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥40% | Lost | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥45% | Lost | $572 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Richard Neal, ≥50% | Lost | $571 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Richard Neal minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Richard Neal if Richard Neal wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Richard Neal loses. If Richard Neal wins, the margin will be positive; if Richard Neal loses, the margin will be negative; if Richard Neal ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Richard Neal runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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