Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moulton 0-5% | Lost | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Markey 5–10% Eliminated | Lost | $440 | — | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$440 | |
Moulton 5%+ Eliminated | Lost | $508 | — | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$508 | |
Markey 10–15% Eliminated | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$1.3K | |
Markey 20–25% Eliminated | Lost | $705 | — | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$705 | |
Markey 25–30% Winner | Won | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | |
Markey 30–35% | Lost | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity81.0% | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Markey minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Markey loses. If Ed Markey wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Markey loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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