Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion — 2026-27 Season
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke Favorite | 16.0%Polymarket US | $839.7K | — | — | — | |||
Florida | 13.0%Polymarket US | $507.3K | — | — | — | |||
Illinois | 10.0%Polymarket | $454.2K | — | — | — | |||
Connecticut Huskies | 7.6%Kalshi | $440.3K | — | — | — | |||
TCU | 9.0%Polymarket | $88 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michigan State Spartans | 4.0%Polymarket US | $339.1K | — | — | — | |||
Oklahoma State | 7.4%Polymarket | $57 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Texas | 3.7%Kalshi | $264.8K | — | — | — | |||
Louisville | 3.6%Kalshi | $275.5K | — | — | — | |||
Texas Tech Red Raiders | 3.6%Kalshi | $434.9K | — | — | — | |||
Houston | 3.5%Kalshi | $221.3K | — | — | — | |||
Arkansas | 3.5%Kalshi | $558.5K | — | — | — | |||
Arizona | 3.3%Kalshi | $346.7K | — | — | — | |||
Kansas | 3.2%Kalshi | $418.9K | — | — | — | |||
St. John's | 2.9%Kalshi | $477.0K | — | — | — | |||
Virginia | 2.6%Kalshi | $218.0K | — | — | — | |||
Gonzaga Widest spread 1.1% | 2.4%Kalshi | $318.4K | — | — | — | |||
UCLA | 2.5%Kalshi | $343.9K | — | — | — | |||
Miami Heat | 2.0%Polymarket US | $319.0K | — | — | — | |||
Michigan | 1.6%Kalshi | $588.4K | — | — | — | |||
Vanderbilt | 1.6%Kalshi | $269.7K | — | — | — | |||
Alabama | 1.5%Kalshi | $272.3K | — | — | — | |||
Tennessee | 1.4%Kalshi | $190.0K | — | — | — | |||
USC | 1.4%Kalshi | $244.5K | — | — | — | |||
Baylor | 1.4%Kalshi | $460.6K | — | — | — | — | ||
West Virginia | 2.5%Polymarket | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kentucky | 1.2%Kalshi | $283.1K | — | — | — | |||
Iowa State Cyclones | 1.3%Kalshi | $284.8K | — | — | — | |||
LSU | 1.1%Kalshi | $276.6K | — | — | — | — | ||
Indiana | 1.0%Polymarket US | $283.4K | — | — | — | |||
Nebraska | 0.8%Kalshi | $357.3K | — | — | — | |||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball national champion, to be decided by the tournament concluding in April 2027. Each outcome represents a specific team, and shares pay out if that team cuts down the nets. Polymarket's rules further specify that eliminated or non-qualifying teams resolve "No," and a cancellation or unresolved tournament past April 19, 2027 resolves "Other." Kalshi carries the bulk of the action, with roughly $7.5M in volume and $6.4M in liquidity, while Polymarket and Polymarket US currently show negligible activity. Florida sits atop the board as the consensus favourite at 19.0%, edging out Virginia and Tennessee (both 14.5%) and a tight cluster including Louisville (13.0%), Purdue (12.5%) and Duke (12.5%). The gap between Florida and the next tier is only about 4-5 points, which points to a wide-open field this far from tip-off rather than a clear frontrunner. Cross-platform pricing is largely aligned where comparisons exist: Kalshi's Florida line reads 14.0% versus Polymarket US's Florida Gators at 21.0%, though these sit on different books with very different liquidity. Overall, Kalshi is where price discovery is happening, and it depicts a crowded top tier with Florida narrowly ahead.
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