MI-07 Democratic primary margin of victory? — On Aug 4, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Lawrence, ≥3% Winner | Won | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥6% | Lost | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥9% | Lost | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥12% | Lost | $7.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥15% | Lost | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥18% | Lost | $8.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥21% | Lost | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Lawrence, ≥24% | Lost | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by William Lawrence minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind William Lawrence if William Lawrence wins, or the candidate that finishes first if William Lawrence loses. If William Lawrence wins, the margin will be positive; if William Lawrence loses, the margin will be negative; if William Lawrence ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If William Lawrence runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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