MI New York vs San Francisco Unicorns

This market covers the Major League Cricket fixture between MI New York and the San Francisco Unicorns, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket list head-to-head markets on the match winner, with resolution tied to the official result; ties without an on-field tiebreak or abandonments generally push the markets to a 50-50 outcome. Kalshi additionally offers team total runs markets at various thresholds (129.5, 159.5, 189.5). The match is priced as close to a coin flip. MI New York sits as a narrow favourite at a 51.0% consensus, with Kalshi at 51.0% and Polymarket at 50.0%. San Francisco is essentially level, quoted around 49.5%–50.5% on Polymarket and 50.0% on Kalshi. The cross-platform spread on MI New York is just 1.0 point, so there is no meaningful disagreement between venues on the head-to-head. On the runs totals, Kalshi prices both sides at 98.0% to clear 129.5, 94.0% to clear 159.5, and 89.0% to clear 189.5, implying a high-scoring expectation. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, pricing on the winner is effectively aligned, with MI New York a razor-thin favourite over the Unicorns.