MI New York vs Seattle Orcas

This is the July 10 Match 25 in Dallas. Seattle Orcas won this one — headline: "Shanaka's four in four balls seals low-scoring tussle for Seattle Orcas". That explains why Seattle Orcas is at 99.8% on Polymarket (the match is essentially over/decided). Now writing the description. This market covers the Major League Cricket clash between MI New York and Seattle Orcas, the 25th match of the 2026 season at Grand Prairie Cricket Stadium in Dallas, with the two sides having split earlier meetings — MI New York had won the July 3 fixture by just five runs in Pomona. The primary Polymarket moneyline resolves to whichever team wins outright, while Kalshi lists both a winner market and several team-total-runs markets pegged at 129.5, 159.5 and 189.5. The data reflects a match already deep in play rather than a pre-game snapshot. On Polymarket, Seattle Orcas trades at 99.8% to win with MI New York at 0.1%, indicating the result is effectively settled in Seattle's favour. Kalshi's winner market, however, still shows MI New York at 72.0% versus Seattle at 29.0% — a stale or slow-moving quote that produces a striking 48.2-point cross-platform spread on the New York line and 47.2 points on the Seattle line. On the totals, both teams sit at 99.0% to clear 129.5 and 159.5 runs, but only 1.0% to exceed 189.5, consistent with a modest-scoring T20. The pricing gap tracks with live reporting: Seattle Orcas sealed a low-scoring tussle, with Dasun Shanaka taking four wickets in four balls, matching Polymarket's near-certain read. Across platforms, Polymarket has already priced the outcome while Kalshi's winner market remains the notable outlier.